Thursday, April 7, 2011

First road signs: signs of economic recession



The economic recession defines negative growth of gross domestic product for two consecutive quarters. In other words, gross domestic product drop in production. Recession is a national or even regional event in the world.




The economic recession lasts from six months to a year or two, which could be the worst time frame for a recession. On the basis of the experience of the United States with his last three recession would be the last recession in the area of the labour market between three to four years. (Schmitt, and Baker, 2008) of the actual recession only going on for more than a year and a half. The effects of the recession would be felt more than the actual extent of the recession itself.




There are several telltale signs that the nation or region is experiencing an economic recession. MarketWatch, the list of seven things to watch out for is fully warned for an event of the economic recession.




Accoding to MarketWatch, it is important to look at the increase in interest rates in the credit market. Lenders are tightening of credit policy of market difficulties. Companies that profit is another sign of recession.


Skyrocketing oil prices are also indicators of the recession. Oil prices have a strong influence on the economy, in particular in the case that the economy is experiencing little growth. Oil isn't the only one who increase their prices. Prices of basic commodities are


also increases. Stocks and property prices go, but nobody buys them.




Problems with housing and foreclosures are also clear indicators. The seizure of the State, people and consumers are not able to pay the mortgage and real estate financing. The borrowers to repay the loan fails for houses, vehicles, businesses and credit cards. Even banks and thrift is missing from the payment of their financial obligations in relation to the borrowers unable to repay loans.




There is also a relative increase in people, pay their bills truing with credit cards. The purchase of a credit card is increasing. This means that people have problems with the payment of cash. Using credit cards to pay for the loans through excessive interest rate shows the despair.




Consumer spending or make sure that the money from consumers back into the economy is also something to check. Government intervention in the economic crisis resulting from the futile efforts can also be a warning.




There is also a relative increase in the unemployed. During the events of the recession, companies tend to release workers due to low demand. Low production demand means less income for the owner of the company. The company and the companies are obliged to release staff to achieve the target return. In the last seven years, unemployment is growing steadfast in the United States. Total employment, which is still high in historical terms, is declining since the beginning of the year 2008.




So how can ordinary people predict a recession?




AOL gives some interesting real life indicators, which are experiencing economic recession. People are not only the whole car theft, but different car parts from vehicles on the parking lot. An example is the catalyst that helps the issue into the car. In retail stores, meanwhile, fewer people are buying goods. They are now opting for Svitavy membership.




Personal and family matters, such as weddings, are also being edited from the perspective of guests and the food. While corporations are cutting back on the membership in the Club and town roads.




The automakers are the buyer and the problem with a lot of incentives. Suddenly, the most popular restaurants in the city has no waiting list at all. Small and local businesses are closed, because it cannot keep up with expenditure.




It may be many ways to find out if the nation is suffering from complications such as the economic recession. If, however, these signs can be immediately detected and we can give help on our economic and financial future, we should learn to read the signs. Or we could have a future.


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